Nfl Wins Over Under Odds

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The 2020 NFL season is underway and football bettors have been zeroing in on teams’ win totals. Over – under bets are one of the more straightforward futures wagers available. Moreover, since they involve handicapping a team’s outlook for the coming season, they’re appealing even to novice bettors, considering NFL fans typically have strong opinions on each team in the league.

Win totals bets do have an added layer of risk attached this season due to the fact that there have been no pre-season games. With that said, there will undoubtedly be action throughout the coming months on these types of wagers. As such, let’s delve into some of the fundamentals of 2020 win totals bets, beginning with a look at the current totals at DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook.

ALSO READ: NFL Week 1 Lines At DraftKings Sportsbook

NFL win totals 2020

NFL Over/Under Over/Under or totals betting allows you to bet on the combined number of points scored in an NFL game. Oddsmakers will set an estimated point total for a game and you can bet on if.

Check back to this page for more win totals as they are released by sportsbooks.

How to bet win totals

Win totals bets fall under the category of a “futures” bet. As their name implies, futures bets are wagers placed on events that won’t be “settled” until a future date. For example, in the case of win totals bets, the wagers are based on the amount of victories a team is projected to garner in the coming regular season of that particular sport. The wagers are made available before the start of that regular season and therefore require a certain amount of research on the part of the bettor in terms of a team’s prospects before a decision is made.

In a win totals bet, the oddsmaker sets a number for the projected amount of victories a team will garner in the coming season. A bettor then decides whether they want to place their money on the team either failing to meet or exceeding that threshold. Either side of the bet will have odds assigned to it that determine the rate of payout if the wager is successful.

The odds are represented in the form of a number with a “-“ or “+” next to them. These denote the rate at which a bettor will be paid out if the wager is successful. As a rule of thumb, the number with a “-“ next to it represents the amount of money a bettor would need to risk to win $100. Conversely a number with a “+” attached represents the amount of money a bettor would win for every $100 wagered. To further illustrate, let’s use a $10 bet for an example.

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Let’s suppose the Miami Dolphins are assigned a projected win total of seven victories for the 2020 season. For this first example, we’ll assume the oddsmakers have assigned either side of the bet -110 odds. That means that whether you bet on Miami falling short of or exceeding seven wins, you’ll have the same rate of payout if your bet is successful. In this case, with the bet having -110 odds all the way around, the $10 bet would pay out a profit of $9.09. The bettor would therefore receive a total of $19.09 in return (the original $10 wagered, plus the profit amount).

Utilizing the same wager, let’s say oddsmakers have instead made the odds for the Dolphins finishing over seven wins at +120 and left the under side of the wager at -110. In this case, bettors putting faith in Miami taking a sizable leap forward next season and exceeding seven wins would realize a $12 profit if their side of the bet is correct. The better would therefore receive a total of $22.00 in return (the original $10 wagered, plus the profit amount).

Where to find win totals bets at online sportsbooks

Get the latest NFL odds, point spreads, money lines and over/unders for popular sportsbooks and view SportsLine's expert analysis of each upcoming game. Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers spread, odds, line, over/under, prediction.

As mentioned earlier, win totals bets fall under the umbrella of futures bets. They are not difficult to locate within an online sportsbooks.

Typically, a bettor first navigates toward the offseason sport they wish to place a win totals bet for. In the case of NFL wins totals bets, the bettor would then look for a “NFL Futures” tab within the NFL section. The win totals bets are often further segregated under a “Team Futures” tab and a “Regular-season Wins” sub-section.

It’s also worth noting that in the early stages of the offseason, not every online sportsbook has win totals bets readily available. Some, such as DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook, wait until the dust settles on important events such as free agency and the draft before rolling out their projected totals. Others, such as FOX Bet, made an initial selection of projected win totals available in early February.

Strategy for betting win totals

Nfl wins over/under odds this week

Line shopping

As is the case with most any purchase, being a smart and patient shopper when placing a wager can pay off nicely over time. The commodity one is evaluating/looking for the best price on when betting projected win totals is the projected number of wins that is set (likely to have low-to-no variance across most sportsbooks) and its corresponding odds (more likely to have variance across sportsbooks).

As an example, say Sportsbook A sets the Miami Dolphins’ win total at 6.5 wins. The odds for under 6.5 wins is set at -110, while odds on over 6.5 wins is set at +110. Meanwhile, Sportsbook B places the odds of under 6.5 wins at -120 and odds on over at +120.

In such an instance, a bettor wishing to bet under 6.5 wins would be best served going to Sportsbook A (as -110 odds offer a more favorable payout than -120) and one wishing to bet over 6.5 wins would be best served going to Sportsbook B (since +120 odds offer a more favorable payout than +110).

Recency bias

The concept of “recency bias” can be a confounding factor in any endeavor that involves placing money on sporting events (i.e., not just sports betting, but in daily fantasy sports as well, for example). Simply put, recency bias is the concept of allowing the performances of a team/player in the recent past to affect a decision on a current wager.

This concept is straightforward to illustrate with respect to win totals bets. Say a bettor is considering placing a win totals bet on the New England Patriotsfor the 2020 season at this stage of the offseason. The total for the Patriots opened at 9.5 wins. A bettor allowing recency bias to creep in would go by the Patriots’ long stretch of dominance (17 straight seasons of double-digit wins) in placing a bet on New England exceeding that figure in the pre-free-agency-portion of the offseason.

However, since Tom Brady decided to bolt Foxboro and head to Tampa Bay and the subsequent signing of former NFL MVP Cam Newton, the Patriots’ win total has been in flux all summer.

In that example, the recency bias engendered by the Pats’ long stretch of success easily coaxed a bettor to assume that another 10-win season at minimum was about as automatic as it gets. However, in this case, not accounting for current circumstances would have cost that bettor money.

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Inflated lines

The concept of “inflated lines” ties into recency bias to a large extent, as the latter often helps lead to the former. Inflated lines are the byproduct of the betting public heavily favoring one side of a bet over the other. Many times, that’s a result of the public allowing recency bias to affect their betting decisions.

To further explain, oddsmakers initially set a line at a point where they estimate they’ll be able to get close to equal action on either side of the wager. However, once the line is released, its future movement will largely be determined by how much money is coming in on each side. When betting decisions heavily influenced by recency bias are being made by a large percentage of the public, this can lead to inflated lines that can be ripe for exploitation by a smart bettor.

The aforementioned case of the Patriots’ 2020 win total could ultimately prove to be a textbook example over time. And the same could apply to a number of teams that underwhelmed last season (see examples in the first section) or for the last several seasons but are reaching a tipping point of exponential improvement due to their ability to add multiple impact players this offseason and the ongoing development of their existing pieces.

In examples such as these, “fading the public” is a strategy to consider, if the odds and research for the less popular side of the wager justify the investment.

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The NFL season is quietly approaching, and there are plenty of new faces in new places. New England will have a new quarterback for the first time in two decades after Tom Brady opted to leave via free agency and join the Buccaneers. And the Patriots, who have won 11 straight division titles, are not favorites to win the AFC East at Caesars Sportsbook.

Patrick Mahomes and the defending Super Bowl champion Chiefs remain the favorites to repeat at 4-1, and the 49ers are still the choice out of the NFC at +750 to win the big game. Brady's new team? They're 11-1 (the Pats are 20-1).

What do the odds look like for everyone else?

Here are the win totals, playoff, Super Bowl, conference and divisional odds for all 32 NFL teams.

Courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook (through Aug. 17)

To jump to each division, click here: AFC East AFC North AFC South AFC West NFC East NFC North NFC South NFC West

AFC East

New England Patriots (20-1 to win Super Bowl)

Odds to win AFC: 9-1
Division: +135
Over/under: 8.5
Odds to make playoffs: Yes -175, No +155

Buffalo Bills (25-1; opened 28-1)

Odds to win AFC: 10-1
Division: +100
Over/under: 9
Odds to make playoffs: Yes -175, No +155

New York Jets (100-1; opened 50-1)

Odds to win AFC: 40-1
Division: +900
Over/under: 6.5
Odds to make playoffs: Yes +370, No -460

Miami Dolphins (100-1)

Odds to win AFC: 40-1
Division: +850
Over/under: 6
Odds to make playoffs: Yes +450, No -600

AFC North

Baltimore Ravens (7-1; opened 8-1)

Odds to win AFC: 3-1
Division: -300
Over/under: 1.5
Odds to make playoffs: Yes -900, No +600

Pittsburgh Steelers (25-1; opened 28-1)

Odds to win AFC: 9-1
Division: +475
Over/under: 9
Odds to make playoffs: Yes -135, No +115

Cleveland Browns (35-1; opened 40-1)

Odds to win AFC: 18-1
Division: +450
Over/under: 8.5
Odds to make playoffs: Yes +105, No -125

Cincinnati Bengals (100-1)

Odds to win AFC: 45-1
Division: 35-1
Over/under: 5.5
Odds to make playoffs: Yes +650, No -1000

AFC South

Indianapolis Colts (25-1; opened 30-1)

Odds to win AFC: 11-1
Division: +130
Over/under: 9
Odds to make playoffs: Yes -170, No +150

Tennessee Titans (30-1)

Odds to win AFC: 13-1
Division: +140
Over/under: 8.5
Odds to make playoffs: Yes -140, No +120

Houston Texans (55-1; opened 50-1)

Nfl Team Win Over Under Odds

Odds to win AFC: 25-1
Division: +340
Over/under: 7.5
Odds to make playoffs: Yes +140, No -160

Jacksonville Jaguars (250-1; opened 125-1)

Odds to win AFC: 100-1
Division: 20-1
Over/under: 4.5
Odds to make playoffs: Yes +700, No -1100

AFC West

Kansas City Chiefs (4-1)

Nfl over and under odds

Odds to win AFC: 2-1
Division: -425
Over/under: 12
Odds to make playoffs: Yes -1100, No +700

Las Vegas Raiders (30-1)

Odds to win AFC: 13-1
Division: 10-1
Over/under: 7.5
Odds to make playoffs: Yes +200, No -240

Los Angeles Chargers (45-1)

Odds to win AFC: 20-1
Division: 6-1
Over/under: 8
Odds to make playoffs: Yes +160, No -180

Denver Broncos (50-1)

Odds to win AFC: 20-1
Division: 10-1
Over/under: 7.5
Odds to make playoffs: Yes +185, No -220

NFC East

Dallas Cowboys (13-1; opened 11-1)

Odds to win NFC: 6-1
Division: -120
Over/under: 10
Odds to make playoffs: Yes -250, No +210

Philadelphia Eagles (20-1; opened 22-1)

Odds to win NFC: 9-1
Division: +130
Over/under: 9.5
Odds to make playoffs: Yes -180, No +160

New York Giants (50-1; opened 60-1)

Total Wins Nfl Over Under Odds 2019

Odds to win NFC: 22-1
Division: +850
Over/under: 6
Odds to make playoffs: Yes +380, No -480

Washington (150-1)

Odds to win NFC: 60-1
Division: 22-1
Over/under: 5
Odds to make playoffs: Yes +750, No -1200

NFC North

Green Bay Packers (16-1)

Odds to win NFC: +750
Division: +170
Over/under: 9
Odds to make playoffs: Yes -135, No +115

Chicago Bears (50-1; opened 25-1)

Odds to win NFC: 20-1
Division: +325
Over/under: 8
Odds to make playoffs: Yes +155, No -175

Minnesota Vikings (28-1; opened 30-1)

Odds to win NFC: 13-1
Division: +155
Over/under: 9
Odds to make playoffs: Yes -125, No +105

Detroit Lions (60-1)

Odds to win NFC: 25-1
Division: 7-1
Over/under: 7
Odds to make playoffs: Yes +280, No -340

NFC South

New Orleans Saints (13-1; opened 14-1)

Odds to win NFC: +650
Division: -105
Over/under: 10.5
Odds to make playoffs: Yes -330, No +270

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (11-1; opened 17-1)

Odds to win NFC: +550
Division: +150
Over/under: 9.5
Odds to make playoffs: Yes -230, No +190

Carolina Panthers (125-1; opened 50-1)

Odds to win NFC: 50-1
Division: 11-1
Over/under: 5.5
Odds to make playoffs: Yes +525, No -750

Atlanta Falcons (60-1; opened 55-1)

Odds to win NFC: 25-1
Division: +650
Over/under: 7.5
Odds to make playoffs: Yes +200, No -240

NFC West

San Francisco 49ers (+750; opened 7-1)

Odds to win NFC: +350
Division: -115
Over/under: 10.5
Odds to make playoffs: Yes -325, No +265

Odds

Vegas Odds Over Under Nfl Wins

Seattle Seahawks (12-1; opened 14-1)

Odds to win NFC: 7-1
Division: +250
Over/under: 9.5
Odds to make playoffs: Yes -125, No +105

Los Angeles Rams (30-1; opened 25-1)

Odds to win NFC: 13-1
Division: 5-1
Over/under: 8.5
Odds to make playoffs: Yes +150, No -170

Nfl Over And Under Odds

Arizona Cardinals (60-1; opened 50-1)

Nfl Wins Over/under Odds Week

Odds to win NFC: 25-1
Division: 6-1
Over/under: 7.5
Odds to make playoffs: Yes +205, No -245